Categorized | Economy, Legal, Politics as Usual

Real Estate Bubble Needs to Pop for Economy to Rebound

In The Washington Post, Robert Samuelson explains that the government is doing more harm than good by attempting to delay the inevitable popping of the real estate bubble, resulting in artificially inflated home prices that buyers can’t afford to purchase. “The sooner prices fall, the better. The longer the adjustment takes, the longer the housing slump (weak sales, low construction, high numbers of unsold homes) will last. It’s elementary economics.”

Government officials don’t seem to have learned anything from the Great Depression, and what made it last longer than prior recessions. The Great Depression started out in 1929 as less severe than some preceding recessions with very nasty beginnings, like the 1920-21 recession that followed the enormous upheaval of World War I. But the Great Depression lingered on for a decade rather than the short time span of the 1920-21 recession, which quickly ended and turned into an economic boom.

Why did the Great Depression last so much longer? Because presidents — Herbert Hoover, and then Franklin Roosevelt — attempted to artificially prop up prices and wages to keep them from falling, preventing the economic bubble of the late 1920’s from popping and then getting the recession out of its system. Since big businesses were discouraged from cutting wages much, employees became prohibitively expensive, and got laid off instead of getting pay cuts. And since they were discouraged from cutting prices, buyers found what was on sale just too expensive to buy, resulting in increased inventories, and reduced industrial production (which led to further lay-offs).

(By contrast, there was “remarkably sharp price deflation” in the 1920-21 recession).

Roosevelt continued in this unproductive path of trying to artificially prop up prices and wages until the Supreme Court stood up to him in Schechter Poultry v. United States (1935), a landmark court decision that struck down the price and wage floors imposed by Roosevelt’s National Industrial Recovery Act, which created economy-wide cartels that favored big businesses over small ones (like the Jewish immigrant small businessmen who won the Schechter Poultry case).



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Comments

  1. REAL ESTATE says:

    artificially prop up prices and wages to keep them from
    falling, preventing the economic bubble

  2. ince they were discouraged from cutting prices, buyers found what was on sale just too expensive to buy, resulting in increased inventories, and reduced industrial production (which led to further lay-offs).

  3. mployees became prohibitively expensive, and got laid off instead of getting pay cuts. And since they were discouraged from cutting prices, buyers found what was on sale just too expensive to buy,

  4. BusbyTest says:

    Real Estate Bubble Needs to Pop for Economy to Rebound
    ….yes the real state must move to help the economy to rebound….

Trackbacks/Pingbacks

  1. [...] real estate bubble needs to pop. Until it does, the economy will not experience sustained growth. The government should stop trying [...]

  2. [...] real estate bubble needs to pop.  Until it does, the U.S. economy will not experience strong and sustained growth.  The [...]

  3. [...] If there is no bailout, the economy may go into a recession, but then it will begin expanding again, and the reckless financial institutions that caused the recession will be punished with losses or bankruptcy.  That’s more or less what happened in the sharp recession of the 1920-21, which started out as nasty as the Great Depression, but quickly ended, unlike the Depression, and then gave way to an economic boom, because the government….  [...]

  4. [...] contrast, the sharp recession of 1920-21 swiftly ended and gave way to an economic boom, when the government did nothing to meddle in the [...]

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