Bailouts Aggravate Economic Crisis

by Hans Bader on October 16, 2008 · 7 comments

in Bailout Watch, Economy, Politics as Usual

In the Washington Post, Peter Schiff describes how politicians spawned the current financial crisis.  “Our leaders irrationally promoted home-buying, discouraged savings, and recklessly encouraged borrowing and lending, which together undermined our markets.”  “Policies enacted by the Federal Reserve, the Federal Housing Administration, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac (which were always government entities in disguise), and others created advantages for home-buying and selling and removed disincentives for lending and borrowing. The result was a credit and real estate bubble that could only grow — until it could grow no more.”

“After the dot-com crash and the slowdown following the attacks of Sept. 11, 2001, the Federal Reserve took extraordinary steps to prevent a shallow recession from deepening. By slashing interest rates to 1 percent and holding them below the rate of inflation for years, the government discouraged savings and practically distributed free money.”

“Artificially low interest rates invigorated the market for adjustable-rate mortgages and gave birth to the teaser rate, which made overpriced homes appear affordable. Alan Greenspan himself actively encouraged home buyers to avail themselves of these seeming benefits. As monetary policy caused houses to become more expensive, it also temporarily provided buyers with the means to overpay. Cheap money gave rise to subprime mortgages and the resulting securitization wave that made these loans appear safe for investors.”

“And even today, as market forces deflate the credit bubble, the government is stepping in to re-inflate it. First came the Treasury’s $700 billion plan to purchase mortgage assets that no one in the private sector would buy. Now it has recapitalized banks to the tune of $250 billion, guaranteeing loans between banks and fully insuring non-interest-bearing accounts. Policymakers say that absent these steps, banks would not be able to extend loans. But given our already staggering debt burden, perhaps more loans are not the answer. That’s what the free market is telling us. But the government cannot abide solutions that ask for consumer sacrifice.”

“Real credit can be supplied only by savings, so artificial steps to stimulate lending will only produce inflation. By refusing to allow market forces to rein in excess spending, liquidate bad investments, replenish depleted savings, fund capital investment and help workers transition from the service sector to the manufacturing sector, government is resisting the cure while exacerbating the disease.”

Why do we have such a logjam in the credit markets?  One big reason is that banks are afraid they won’t be paid back if they make loans.  For good reason, they fear that the government will pass laws that will protect defaulting borrowers from foreclosure.  The State of Maryland has already passed a law that bars foreclosure until the borrower has missed at least four payments.

Senator Obama has now gone beyond that, demanding a three-month freeze on all foreclosures nationally, an unfunded mandate to be imposed on banks all across the country.  That will make it harder for banks to collect mortgage payments, and even more worried about making loans in general — contributing to the credit freeze that was cited as the reason for the $700 billion financial system bailout.  Taxpayers will suffer as a result.  And the government’s enormous bailout of foolish borrowers and lenders will promote future bubbles and inflation.

{ 5 comments }

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number66 November 5, 2008 at 1:15 pm

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Poverty a Subject November 25, 2008 at 3:54 am

Bailout is only temporary solutions to cover what lost by financial or other industrial sectors. Bailout money is public money used to please rich sectors. Bailout does not mean better future of these sectors due to low financial demand from loss making or reduced output of industries. Final decision for moving economy is by the final customers who already have lost to high living cost. Improving citizens buying power would yield the result. Many factors are involved for the present banking and industrial crisis among them major reason is defaulting final customer. Think about:

• Present artificially escalated cost essential commodities through over speculative futures trading. Lacks of productive resources for investment, most investments are done in speculative unproductive sectors like housing, stock or other markets. These tend to create artificial demand and artificial price hike in hope more profitable business. Finally lack of demand from real needy customers dooms the market.

• Change economic pattern, both rural and urban economics be developed in same priority. Major Asian economies have gone into crisis as they relied on exports of basic commodities and manpower to developed countries resulting failures as have no demand in their own countries due to extensive poverty level.

• Generating employment in both rural and urban sectors is must for any economy to grow as a boost to generate demand.

• Finally any economic crisis or promotion is determined by the individuals of a country who buy and sell commodities or services. Country’s growth is based on the power of its individuals. Simply scaling down of inflation index or GDP growth on paper does not help real evaluation of actual growth of any economy. Inflation indexed increase or decrease is only to satisfy regulators themselves but for normal citizen it is the price of vegetable, cereal or any essential commodity that matters which practically rose by 200-300% whereas the inflation index indicates opposite to it or minor increase. (WPI) there is also variation of wholesale price and final price what a citizen pays for commodity, to get correct inflation figure retail price of the commodity that matters (CPI). Normal human has nothing to do with any high valued industrial commodities so inflation index need to classify essential and non essential commodity. Similarly, GDP growth indication too fails in countries where 50% of rural citizens are unemployed or semi-employed. Actual GDP grows when major portion of working population is engaged in production present industrial growth is beneficial to only limited nearly 5 to 10% of total population. A present economic indication criterion is totally baseless for a country which has among the largest poorest living population in the world.

Bad Credit Home Purc November 28, 2008 at 11:31 am

I have to say, that I could not agree with you completely, but it’s just my opinion, which could be wrong.

Commodity Trading Sy December 3, 2008 at 2:04 am

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