Richard Morrison and Marc Scribner team up with William Yeatman, Ryan Radia and Iain Murray, to bring you Episode 92 of the LibertyWeek podcast. We take on the prospects for cap-and-trade climate legislation, the FCC’s broadband power grab, tales from a hung parliament and an exciting new job opportunity in Venezuela.
broadband
An article in this month’s Info Tech & Telecom News quotes me about proposed stimulus funding for an in-flight broadband provider.
My take: it’s corporate welfare.
This week, the New America Foundation called for government-mandated “Truth-in-Labeling” from the nation’s broadband service providers. They’ve even created a mock-up of what they think such a disclosure form should look like. In addition to fees, service limits, and contract terms, NAF would like the disclosures to include information such as minimum reliability, maximum latency, and a service guarantee.
While it’s true that the actual speed a user experiences is often a fraction of the advertised speed, this isn’t secret knowledge. Internet companies oversubscribe their networks – that is, they put more people on one connection than what the router could handle at one time. Because, on average, not all customers will be requesting downloads from the network at the same time, ISPs are able to maximize efficiency and minimize the cost to consumers this way. When this pricing/advertising scheme became standard practice, the most common services were web browsing and email, two activities that do not rely on constant data downloading. Today we live in the era of online video games, streamable video, and internet telephony. However, most ISP’s already provide dedicated video and voice services (i.e. cable TV and phone). Online gamers are among the most technoligically-savvy consumers; presumably, they know what grade of internet access will suit their needs. While most consumers don’t know the exact data rate that they’re getting, they do know that 50 Mbits/second is faster and costs more than 2 Mbits/second, which is faster and generally more expensive than 784 Kbits/second. For less knowledgeable users, “Broadband” is fast internet. Above a certain limit, it’s becomes difficult for humans to perceive the difference between “fast” and “faster.”
NAF’s demands for the disclosure of certain technical aspects are also unnecessary. Minimum reliability is problematic because some broadband technologies are less reliable than others. For example, satellite internet connections are known to be affected by interference from weather and other unpredictable environmental conditions. Maximum latency can be affected by many different factors, enough that giving a “maximum” amount of time (even if it only occurs 1% of the time) could force companies to cast their own service not in a “realistic” light, but in a poor light. A service guarantee would mean that an ISP would refund customers for any amount of time that their connection is disrupted. In my personal experience, home broadband connections aren’t usually out for more than a few hours. A three-hour outage on a $49.99/month internet service would equal roughly a $0.21 refund per consumer.
The folks at NAF may mean well, but you know what they say about good intentions. Government micromanagement of ISPs’ advertising practices is another small step in the erosion of the real free nature of the ‘net.
You know them from the cap-and-trade climate bill that failed to generate funding for Obama’s proposed health reforms. Now, they’re joining forces again. Rep. Henry Waxman (D.-CA) announced Thursday that he will co-sponsor a net-neutrality bill introduced by Rep. Ed Markey (D.-MA). Misleadingly named the Internet Freedom Preservation Act, Waxman-Markey v 2.0 would hold Internet Service Providers legally responsible for ensuring that every user has access to whatever they want, whenever they want, regardless of the actual resources available.
While Internet firms have in recent years embraced a pricing scheme that renders users unaware of the marginal cost of their surfing habits, the unfortunate fact is that bandwidth isn’t free. Somebody has to pay for it. U.S. consumers seem hesitant to embrace a metered pricing system, which could theoretically be the most efficient and “fair” way to bill users (though it seems doubtful that many people would stream video online if they faced an astronomical monthly broadband bill). Somewhere in between those two extremes lies a pricing/usage model that the ISPs are trying to find. They ought to have the ability to experiment to find out what works. And net neutrality advocates should remember that Comcast, the last company that tried implementing an unpopular network management scheme, was scolded by the FCC. As the CNET article above notes, after a public backlash, Comcast quietly stopped the practice. Preventing network administrators from managing traffic on their own networks will lead to either congestion and poor service or prohibitively expensive prices. Under a rule that prohibits innovation in network management schemes, congestion can only be fixed by increasing overall bandwidth, which ultimately leads to higher prices for all consumers.
[youtube:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JQO84UjQ2Fg 285 234]
The Commission must not only identify the most cost-effective approach for catalyzing broadband deployment but also ensure that any public funds spent are used in an economically efficient manner. A national broadband plan, therefore, must consider the possibility that spending any taxpayer dollars whatsoever on broadband deployment might be contrary to the public interest.
– CEI, in comments to the FCC
The debate over broadband subsidies has largely focused on whether the US is lagging behind other industrialized nations in the construction of broadband infrastructure. Subsidy opponents have attacked those claims, but the unfortunate implication has been that, if America is behind, something must be done about it. Last week, we penned a rather sarcastic treatment of that view, but today we want to explain more thoroughly why even a credible lag simply does not justify subsidies.
There are many goods, even luxury and high-tech goods, that Americans consume less per capita than our peers. The French drink more wine than we do, even though their per capita GDP is lower. The Japanese have more fax machines, despite the same disadvantage. Of course, none of that indicates any problem with the American economy. Rather, the French and the Japanese have different preferences in food and communication, preferences which are also reflected in their lower consumption of beer and personal computers. In precisely the same way, Americans might consume less broadband because we simply want other things more.
Proponents of broadband subsidies often point out that if Americans were better educated about the benefits of broadband and the Internet generally, we might demand more of it. This is true, no doubt; but it also holds true of practically any product. That’s the whole idea of advertising: the more we hear about a product, the more likely we are to buy it. Wine has plenty of health and culinary benefits, for example, but the suggestion of promoting wine through policy elicits a natural skepticism. Are we so sure that we’re underconsuming? Even if we are, do we trust the wine industry not to lobby the government and push us to overconsume? Is the potential gain worth the inefficiencies of taxation and subsidy? Practically no one would believe any of that about wine, but when it comes to broadband, we seem to be saying all three.
The essential fallacy in the broadband debate is the conclusion that, because Americans would benefit from more broadband, we should spend public funds on broadband. But that simply doesn’t follow. Broadband costs money, and if we want it to be more widely available then we’ll have to settle for less of something else. To justify accelerating consumption, we need to show not only that more broadband would be a good thing, but that it would be better than anything else we could have spent that money on. That’s exactly what underconsumption means, and it’s extremely difficult to prove.
That’s not to say there are no justifiable policies that would promote broadband in an efficient manner. The Universal Service Fund for instance, which inhibits broadband by subsidizing older technologies, should be reformed or eliminated. Our woefully inefficient command-and-control spectrum allocation system is also holding back wireless broadband and umpteen other technologies. But lavishing subsidies on telecom giants and stepping gingerly around the toes of entrenched interests is worse than doing nothing at all.
Actually, there is one guaranteed way to find out whether America is underconsuming broadband while benefiting consumers at the same time: Give back the money. Instead of spending billions more on infrastructure, tax billions less. If the taxpayers spent the difference on more broadband, then they were underconsuming. If they didn’t, they weren’t.
Suppose someone at the FCC called up a few rural and inner-city families and asked them what they’d buy with their share of all this money. Would the answer be broadband? No one could seriously suggest that OECD rankings predict the outcome of those phonecalls, but we’re about to spend billions of dollars on the tacit assumption that they do.
Under that Orwellian slogan, the American Telephone and Telegraph Company, or “Ma Bell,” operated its telephone monopoly for the better part of the 20th century. For sixty years, regulators nurtured Ma Bell’s control of the industry, convinced that the telephone market was a natural monopoly. At one point, AT&T’s grip was so tight that the company owned not only the wires in our walls but also the telephones we plugged into them, and its monopoly persisted until the company in 1984.
Today, as the FCC invites comments on “a national broadband plan for our future,” no one seriously believes that telecom monopolies are a good idea. Even pro-regulation advocacy groups like Free Press now support “competition policies.” In its comments, Free Press advises the FCC to “look for ways to spur the deployment of higher capacity networks…by promoting competition in these markets.” In the same breath, however, they tack on a to-do list of “social and economic outcomes”:
- Universal service
- Affordable rates
- Net neutrality and open access rules
At a glance, those sound like nice things. We like talking to everyone, we like it cheap, and we hate people telling us what to say. Unfortunately, nothing is ever so simple.
In a 1994 article, Adam Thierer of the Cato Institute described three political factors that were crucial in the growth of Ma Bell:
- Universal telephone entitlement
- Regulation of rates to achieve universal service
- Elimination of “wasteful competition” through interconnection requirements
The rules that Free Press is advocating are precisely what created the Bell monopoly in the first place, and their comments are a case study in the Law of Unintended Consequences.
When regulators intervene to ensure universal service, they inevitably thwart competition. In any business, unserved markets are the biggest open door to new entrants. That was precisely how companies like Texaco, Shell, and Gulf broke into the Standard Oil monopoly in the early 20th century. The only way to ensure universal service, however, is to create artificial incentives for existing companies and to shield those companies from failure. AT&T’s rural profits were protected by exclusionary licensing requirements, ostensibly to prevent unnecessary duplication. In the modern telecom industry, the FCC dispenses funding from its Universal Service Fund. Even Free Press, which advocates extending the USF to cover broadband, admits that the fund is full of “waste, fraud, and abuse.”
Another problem with the USF and similar efforts is that the definition of “service” changes rapidly. Voice telephony, once an essential service, is today’s legacy technology. Yet the USF continues to subsidize telephone services. Beyond simply wasting money, the fund now inhibits broadband adoption by exaggerating cost differences between the services. While universal service can accelerate the spread of new technologies, it also entrenches old ones.
Universal service proposals always go hand-in-hand with subsidies that accelerate adoption by new customers. For instance, rate-averaging policies aimed at increasing rural telephone adoption were at the core of Ma Bell’s former monopoly. Even before the creation of the FCC, federal and state agencies raised prices in established urban areas to subsidize more expensive rural service. These rates effectively restricted rural telephone markets to companies that were already established in urban areas. It should go without saying that artificially high rates preclude competition. Artificially low rates, however, also damage competition, because they must be accompanied by subsidies. As AT&T demonstrated for decades, and as the USF demonstrates today, subsidies go to the competitor with the most political clout, almost always the incumbent.
Even as Free Press pushes for broader FCC authority, it admits that the agency has been “captured by [the telecom] giants” and that it “chose to follow the wishes of the industries it regulates.” They urge the FCC to do better, but they don’t exactly suggest how to teach that old dog a new trick. The implication is that the problem stems from corruption of some temporary sort, but in reality the problem is inherent in the business of utilities regulation. Alfred E. Kahn, who orchestrated the successful deregulation of the American airline industry, described the regulator’s dilemma this way:
When a commission is responsible for the performance of an industry, it is under never completely escapable pressure to protect the health of the companies it regulates, to assure a desirable performance by relying on those monopolistic chosen instruments and its own controls rather than on the unplanned and unplannable forces of competition.
If service and rate regulations are the surest way to create a monopoly, network sharing is the easiest way to keep it. This seems counterintuitive, since the stated goal of open access is to let new competitors use an incumbent’s lines at fair cost. What is created, though, is competition only in the most useless sense: multiple firms selling access to a single line, the price of which is determined by an incumbent utility and its regulators. Real competition exists only when there is competition in the network infrastructure, and open access removes any incentive to build competing lines. Regulators complain about unnecessary duplication, but there is no better way–indeed, no other way–to reliably provide modern services at competitive prices.
AT&T knew this a century ago when it opened its networks to placate antitrust regulators. In the Kingsbury Commitment of 1913, the company gladly accepted interconnectivity requirements while cementing its monopoly. The president of AT&T at the time, Theodore Vail, announced that “effective, aggressive competition, and regulation and control are inconsistent with each other,” and like Free Press, he advocated the latter. More recently, Thomas W. Hazlett studied the effects of line sharing requirements on DSL service, which were lifted in 2003. Critics predicted that the newly deregulated incumbents would dig in their heels and slow DSL growth. Instead, the growth rate of DSL shot above that of cable, as prices continued to drop. In theory, broadband providers were newly empowered to gouge their customers. In practice, however, the added incentives for investment put consumers in an even better position than before.
The telcos are salivating at the prospect of broadband funds. In its own comments, AT&T proposes the profitable new mission statement: “Ensure Broadband Access for 100% of Americans. Ensure Broadband Adoption by 100% of Americans.” At the same time, they urge the FCC not to burden them with neutrality or openness regulations, what they describe as the “‘dumb pipes’ vision of the Internet.”
At the other end of the dumb pipes, Google’s comments downplay the possibility of infrastructure competition and push open access. This is no surprise either: their business model benefits from the inherent non-neutral nature of open lines, which guarantees them faster connections than their competitors who cannot afford to leverage worldwide server farms. Yet when it comes to content providers, Google cautions the FCC against tarnishing its “strong legacy of non-regulation.”
There is nothing new under the sun. Every businessman alive wants the government to leave him alone but regulate his suppliers and his competitors, sometimes even for laudable reasons. Theodore Vail genuinely believed that One System under regulation was better for the American people, and his regulators saw the world through his eyes. We have paid dearly for the privilege of learning from their mistakes.
Your hosts Richard Morrison and Cord Blomquist are joined by special guest co-host Jeremy Lott for a very swashbuckling Episode 38 of LibertyWeek. We start with the rescue of Capt. Richard Phillips from Somali pirates by the U.S. Navy and Special Forces, look into the murky finances of AIG CEO Edward Liddy in Scandal Watch, and figure out what ISPs are up to in Technology News. We also get an update on how West Virginia is about to become even more Wild and Wonderful, and finally we answer the call for wealthy, multilingual volunteers in Olympic News.
Standing Before the FCC Shouting Stop
by Jack O'Connor on July 23, 2009
in Features, Regulation, Tech & Telecom, Zeitgeist
CEI submitted our initial comments to the FCC on broadband policy last month, and this week we submitted our reply comments. A brief overview: