Congress

The Washington Post does not paint a pretty picture:

For most it’s not just a casual dislike of Congress: Sixty-two percent say they “strongly disapprove” of congressional job performance. An additional 20 percent “somewhat” disapprove.

Only 3 percent of Americans said they “strongly approve” of the performance of lawmakers on Capitol Hill — essentially as low as possible, given the poll’s margin of error of four percentage points.

Congress is doing all it can to placate people who want it to do something, anything to help the economy. The trouble is that those somethings and anythings have been spectacularly ineffective.

Lawmakers need to do something about their do-something bias. Instead of more bailouts, financial regulations, stimuli, cash-for-clunkers, jobs bills, and the like, Congress should try a deregulatory stimulus. Besides stimulating the economy, it would likely stimulate approval ratings, too.

As I have written about before, Sen. Harry Reid (D-Nev.) introduced a bill earlier this month that would legalize a limited form of online poker. While the bill was clearly a payback to the Nevada casinos that treated him so well during his campaign, and despite the fact that there were many problems with the legislation (i.e., the 15 month black out for all online gambling), it would have represented a step forward for professional online poker players. It would have at least provided some measure of protection for poker players from the government.

As yet another congressional session is set to end without an online gambling legalization bill passed, it appears that professional Internet gamblers will left out in the cold once again — left to the mercy of any state legislator of government agency that wishes to target them.

While it was believed that Reid would attempt to  attach his legislation to the president’s must-pass tax bill, probably the best chance of passage during this session, that did not pan out. Now online poker players watch and wait as a couple of bills that could have legalized their chosen activity languish in the final days of Congress.

Frank’s bill H.R.226 — the Internet Gambling Regulation, Consumer Protection, and Enforcement Act — which had a good measure of bipartisan support, was apparently shelved once it passed through committee. Then along came Reid with his surprise proposal to legalize online poker. His attempt to attach the bill to the Obama tax-cut bill is a promising move taken from the very same playbook used to pass the UIGEA in 2006, which is the sneaky tactic that prevented real debate in Congress seems to have worked against Reid. Unlike UIGEA, which was sneakily attached to the “must-pass” SAFE Port Act of 2006 and had at least gone through some debate, Reid’s legalization bill did not. As Sahmus of the website “Hard-Boiled Poker” wrote:

…when it came to the UIGEA, that sucker had been around a long, long time — in various forms, that is — having been proposed again and again for nearly a full decade before. And in July 2006, the House of Representatives had passed H.R. 4411, the Internet Gambling Prohibition and Enforcement Act proposed by Jim Leach (R-AZ), by a 317-93 vote (with 22 absent/not voting). That is to say, while the Senate never really debated the UIGEA (a whittled-down version of Leach’s bill) in late September 2006, senators at least knew the thing had been discussed and approved on the other side of Capitol Hill.

But Reid’s attempt to legalize online poker seemingly came out of thin air:

It seems to me that the situation surrounding Reid’s bill is entirely different. Neither the full House nor the Senate has been given a chance to discuss or vote on any of Frank’s earlier bills designed to license and regulate online gambling in the U.S. And there really hasn’t been any discussion even on the committee level regarding an online poker-only licensing and regulatory scheme.

It appears that Shamus was right. And the news that Sen. Reid’s bill probably won’t pass isn’t causing too many tears among online poker players. Despite an understanding that the future could be worse than the the present, most poker players were only tepidly in favor of Reid’s plans for legalization.

First off, it does not sound as though the bill if passed would be such great news to any of the current “U.S.-facing” online poker sites — most particularly the two largest ones, PokerStars and Full Tilt Poker — all of whom apparently will be swiftly swept away from the U.S. market for an extended period of time should Reid’s bill become law.

The bill as written requires that no licenses to operate online poker sites in the U.S. will be issued until 15 months after the bill becomes law. Furthermore, the bill includes provisions to prevent issuing licenses to anyone but U.S.-based casino operators (or other business entities who have been involved in the industry here in the states for five years or more) for the first two years after that. In other words, Stars, Full Tilt, Cake, the Cereus delinquents, and others would all have to sit in the penalty box (so to speak) for at least 39 months before coming back to the U.S.

The idea here is obviously to try to develop this new market of online poker in the U.S. in such a way as to ensure its primary beneficiaries are U.S.-based (and, not incidentally, significant backers of Reid’s campaigns).

The future of online gambling, at least over the next two years, will most likely advance through state-by-state initiatives. The result could be a patchwork of regulations that still shuts out the current platforms from the market. We could also see World Trade Organizations complaints and lawsuits against states. The real victims, though, will be the online poker players, mothers, fathers, disabled, retired, etc. — people who simply want to earn an honest living through online competition; they will find their income drying up, or at the least will remain in a state of confusion about the legality of their chosen profession.

As I wrote last week, the federal government has no laws that makes online poker illegal in the U.S., but its ambiguous legal status will continue to see innocent online poker players snared by the U.S. legal system.

The Environmental Protection Agency is 40 years old.  It came into being under a Republican president, Richard M. Nixon, and opened its offices on December 2, 1970.  In January of that year, Nixon had signed the National Environmental Protection Act, and on the last day of December 1970, he signed the Clean Air Act of 1970.

Fast forward to the year 2010, with an EPA now with almost limitless powers in the environmental arena — regulating greenhouse gas emissions, policing carbon dioxide as a pollutant, and expanding the purview of the Clean Air Act, without congressional approval.  As CEI’s Marlo Lewis wrote,

. . . EPA has positioned itself to determine the stringency of fuel economy standards for the auto industry, set climate policy for the nation, and even amend provisions of the Clean Air act–powers Congress never delegated to the agency. The Endangerment Rule is both trigger and precedent for sweeping policy changes Congress never approved. America could end up with a pile of greenhouse gas regulations more costly than any climate bill or treaty the Senate has declined to pass or ratify, yet without the people’s representatives ever voting on it.

Here’s more from a coalition letter trying to roll back these expanded powers:

Is climate policy to be made by the people’s representatives or by politically unaccountable bureaucrats, trial lawyers, and activist judges?

Only one answer to that question passes constitutional muster. EPA has no authority to do an end-run around the democratic process. Climate policy is too important to be made by an administrative agency without new and specific statutory guidance from Congress.

Republicans are now in control of the House, and with six additional seats in the Senate, they, working with moderate Democrats, should be able to pass legislation suspending or overturning EPA greenhouse gas regulations. We, the People, can “take back our government” only if our representatives stop administrative agencies from legislating.

Over at the Technology Liberation Front, I discuss the “Combating Online Infringements and Counterfeits Act” (COICA), which the Senate Judiciary Committee unanimously approved last week. The bill would enable the U.S. Attorney General to obtain a court order disabling access to web domains that are “dedicated to infringing activities.”

These “rogue websites” are a real problem, as the website Fight Online Theft explains, so it’s a good thing that Congress is working to address them. However, some of COICA’s provisions raise profound constitutional concerns, and the bill lacks adequate safeguards to protect against the unwarranted suspension of Internet domain names, as the website Don’t Censor the Net argues. The bill also doesn’t provide a mechanism for website operators targeted by the Attorney General to defend their site in an adversary judicial proceeding. This week, a group of over 40 law professors submitted a letter to the U.S. Senate arguing that COICA, in its current form, suffers from “egregious Constitutional infirmities.”

To address these concerns, CEI is urging Congress to amend COICA to provide for more robust safeguards, including:

  • Providing a meaningful opportunity for Internet site operators to challenge before a federal court an Attorney General’s assertion that their site is “dedicated to infringing activities” prior to the suspension of their domain name;
  • Requiring that the Attorney General, upon commencing an in rem action against a domain name, make a reasonable and good faith effort to promptly notify the site’s actual operator of the action;
  • Clarifying the definition of an Internet site “dedicated to infringing activities” to ensure that websites with nontrivial lawful uses that facilitate infringing acts by third parties will not face domain name suspension if their operators:
    • Comply with legitimate takedown requests from rightsholders;
    • Do not receive a financial benefit directly attributable to infringing activities;
    • Do not design their site primarily for the purpose of facilitating infringing activities; and
    • Do not induce infringing activities.
  • Instructing the Department of Justice and federal prosecutors not to request that domain name registrars, registries, or service providers suspend domain names that have not been deemed to be “dedicated to infringing activities,” or otherwise unlawful, by a federal court; and
  • Requiring the Department of Justice to compensate domain name registrars, registries, and service providers for any reasonable costs they incur in the course of disabling access to infringing domain names.
  • Eliminating the provisions requiring the Department of Justice to publish a public listing of Internet Sites “alleged to be … dedicated to infringing activities” but that have not been the target of a successful in rem action by the Attorney General to disable access to their domain name.

Image credit: minkj’s flickr photostream.

Over at the AmSpec blog, I look at the just-wrapped House ethics trial against Rep. Charlie Rangel (D-NY). Worth noting: while that Damoclean sword was hanging over Rangel’s head, 80 percent of his district’s voters though him worthy of another term.

Nothing against Rangel; he has his problems, but he’s good on some issues, such as wanting to end the Cuban embargo. But the ease with which even ethically challenged incumbents get re-elected is a sign that our democracy is not healthy.

Image credit: pamhule’s flickr photostream.

In its Sunday editorial, The Washington Post takes an upbeat post-election look at the prospects for stalled trade agreements, especially the pending U.S.-Korea Free Trade Agreement. With the Republicans running the House, the article notes that some key House committee positions — chairman of Ways and Means and chairman of its trade subcommittee — will likely be held by legislators who call themselves free-traders.  There is a note of caution, however, about the role of the new Tea Party members, who may not be as supportive of international trade.  But, the Post notes, former U.S. Trade Representative under President Bush, Rob Portman, handily won the Senate seat in Ohio, which may mean there’s less opposition to trade than commonly thought.

In Seoul, South Korea, today top U.S. and Korean trade negotiators are trying to resolve some differences relating to autos and beef so the negotiations will be complete before President Obama and South Korean President Lee Myung-bak meet Thursday at a summit before the G-20 meeting.  The trade pact would be the largest economic agreement since NAFTA and would substantially reduce both tariff and non-tariff barriers on both sides.  Other countries have moved ahead in signing trade agreements with South Korea, most notably the European Union, and the U.S. would be at a considerable advantage if it backs away from its own Korea agreement.

The Washington Post editorial also points out not only the economic but the important geopolitical ties that a U.S.-Korea FTA and other pending FTAs would further:

At stake is not only economic growth, but also the strategic balance in Asia. As China rises, this agreement would help keep the peace by binding two long-time democratic allies closer. Similar arguments apply to stalled agreements with two U.S. allies in Latin America, Colombia and Panama. The finalization and swift congressional approval of all three pacts should be among Mr. Obama’s highest priorities for 2011.

Hear, hear.

Yesterday’s election results will make it much more difficult for organized labor to advance its agenda in Congress. This is good news for the American economy, especially struggling businesses and workers who do not wish to join unions.

The deceptively named Employee Free Choice Act (EFCA) remains at the top of the union agenda. It failed to become law when Democrats controlled both houses of Congress and the White House, so its chances of gaining any traction in its current form now are nil. However, during upcoming Congress lame duck session, EFCA supporters could alter the bill in various ways in order get at least parts of it through.

One possibility is jettisoning the bill’s card check provision, which would in effect eliminate secret ballots in union organizing elections. This provision generated the most opposition and is now politically toxic. EFCA supporters could either replace that provision with one mandating expedited elections or push EFCA without an organizing provision. Either option is bad.

Expedited elections very likely would function as ambush elections, in which employers get very little time to respond to union organizing campaigns, and thus give the union a significant advantage.

Meanwhile, EFCA’s other provisions are also very bad policy. The Act’s binding arbitration provision would enjoin a federally appointed arbitrator, who would have no knowledge of the business, to impose a contract on a newly unionized company if the management and the union cannot reach an agreement after 120 days. Such an imposed contract could include obligations to pay into severely underfunded union pension funds. Thus, employers could find themselves facing millions of new liabilities practically overnight, without having much of a say in the matter. (As Brett McMahon of Miller & Long Construction describes it, for a newly unionized company, that would be “a good time to start liquidating.”)

EFCA’s last provision would increase penalties on employers for “unfair labor practices,” which can include actions resisting unionization that would be legal in any other context outside of the bizarre world of U.S. labor law — such as raising wages or promising to do so. Increased penalties for such actions give unions a bigger club with which to browbeat employers during organizing campaigns.

EFCA opponents in Congress — mostly Republicans but also a few Democrats — should be on guard against EFCA supporters attempting to attach the bill’s binding arbitration and increased employer penalty provisions to other legislation. In short, they should be vigilant against EFCA-minus-card-check and EFCA-in-pieces.

Another Big Labor priority to watch out for is the companion union pension fund bailout bills, introduced in the House (Create Jobs and Save Benefits Act, H.R. 3936) by Rep. Earl Pomeroy (D-N.D.) and in the Senate (Create Jobs and Save Benefits Act, S. 3157) by Rep. Robert Casey (D-Penn.). The Pomeroy-Casey bailout would create a new fund within the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation (PBGC), an agency chartered by Congress that insures private sector pensions. As my colleague Vinnie Vernuccio and I explain in a recent op ed:

PBGC is funded through premiums paid by private companies to insure retirees if a plan sponsor were to become insolvent. Casey’s bill would direct taxpayer dollars to shore up some underfunded union pension plans. The use of public funds to insure private pension plans is a first for PBGC and stark departure from the way it has operated since its creation in 1974.

Casey’s bill would create a new fund to the PBGC called the “fifth” fund. The legislation states that the new fund’s obligations would be “obligations of the United States.” In other words, taxpayers, not just by PBGC premium payers, would be on the hook. Money in the “fifth” fund would go to “orphans”—employees whose employers have stopped contributing to their plan—of certain existing pensions.

The taxpayer liability could be huge, extending to cover the PBGC’s existing, already-large deficit.

Worse, Casey’s bill would also bail out a dysfunctional agency. The PBGC’s premiums are set by Congress, not the market. As a result, years of too-low premiums, combined with the moral hazard that creates for companies under Chapter 11 to shunt off their pension obligations to the agency, have left the PBGC with severe deficits of its own. The PBGC faces a deficit of $22 billion, which is projected to go as high as $34 billion by 2019, according to its own 2010 annual management report. Taxpayers could also be on the hook for this deficit. A provision in the “fifth fund” allows it to transfer money to others funds in the PBGC, which could use that money to reduce its deficit.

And that’s not all. The Pomeroy-Casey legislation would increase the pension liabilities of companies that already face those obligations, before those pensions wind up as wardens of the state in the new taxpayer-funded PBGC. As Vinnie and former CEI Brookes Fellow Jeremy Lott explain, it would allow multi-employer — i.e. union — pension funds to create “alliances” — that is, combine into larger funds.

Multiemployer union pension alliances might sound innocent enough, but consider what that actually means. Moody’s Investors Service recently warned of a vast underfunding problem with multiemployer pensions. Many employers fear being shackled into them. Even though the funds are controlled by unions, employers are liable not just for their own employees, but for every worker in the plan regardless of how the plan is managed or mismanaged.

The so-called last-man-standing rule holds that if every other company in a multiemployer pension plan goes bankrupt, closes or pulls out of the plan, the one survivor is responsible for every single employee covered by the plan, even those who never worked for him. UPS paid $6.1 billion in withdrawal fees just to escape the Teamsters Central States pension fund.

Earl Pomeroy lost his reelection bid yesterday, and soon will no longer be in Congress, which makes the prospects for his legislation dim indeed. However, just because unions lost one champion of this legislation doesn’t mean they can’t find another. Pomeroy was an odd sponsor of such legislation anyway; unions aren’t exactly political powerhouses in North Dakota. Still, given enough support from the national Big Labor establishment, another unlikely lawmaker could take this up. In addition, Pomeroy himself could try to push this legislation during the lame duck session, which could gain him favor with the Obama administration — and its major labor supporters — and improve his chances for an executive appointment.

Finally, organized labor’s reduced clout in Congress may clear the way politically for the long overdue ratification of free trade agreements with Colombia, Panama, and South Korea. Colombia and Panama are promising emerging markets. South Korea is one of the world’s leading economies. All three countries are U.S. allies. America’s trade agreements with all three deserve prompts ratification.

For more on labor, see here and here.

I am not a member of the Tea Party movement, but am a curious observer, and I am sympathetic to the original objective of reigning in government spending. However, I am pessimistic that the movement will achieve this for three reasons.*

#1 Hijacking of the Tea Party

I cringe at the idea of Sarah Palin being the self-anointed voice of the Tea Party. I see (saw) the Tea Party movement as a revival of classical liberal ideas, or at least of limited government. But now I hear anti-immigration and standard social conservative rhetoric. Consequently, they’re crowing out the original objective of controlling government spending — by taking our eye off the ball.

#2 Many Don’t Want to Really Control Government Spending

Politicians in states involved in defense manufacturing won’t want to cut defense spending. States with many retirees won’t want to cut Social Security or Medicare. States with high poverty rates won’t want to cut unemployment benefits and Medicaid. Everyone has their own pet project that and they won’t agree to cut a bit for one reason: they won’t be re-elected. Damned if you do, damned if you don’t. Lesson learned: don’t create programs that promise people they can consume more than they can produce.

#3 Politicians’ Incentives are Not Aligned with the Nations Interests

This is a systematic problem. Two-year and six-year terms and a lack of term limits means that what matters is the number of days before the nearest election, not the next two to six decades. Each problem (such as Social Security and Medicare) doesn’t have to be worried about until it’s a problem, i.e. until it reaches a boiling point and we are left with two bad options: monetize the debt or default on it. Our fiscal ship is heading full steam for the iceberg.

The ultimate issue is that the status quo is really hard to break. It’s difficult until forces outside our control break it. The improperly aligned incentives mentioned above make perilous procrastination inevitable. I hope that the Tea Party movement will succeed, but realistically I just don’t see it happening. I think we can only bet on technology and innovation from the business sector to overcome politicians’ mismanagement during the past 80 years. I fear that it may not be enough.

*I’m sure this article will make provoke some ire. I more than welcome comments that will convince me I’m wrong — indeed I really hope so.

The House passed a budget enforcement resolution yesterday. It sets 2011’s discretionary spending $7 billion below what President Obama has requested.

Next year’s discretionary spending target is $1.12 trillion for next year. The $7 billion difference represents savings of 0.625 percent. Barely a rounding error. If total spending (including mandatory and defense spending) ends up at $3.5 trillion next year, the savings becomes 0.2 percent.

Of course, 2010 discretionary spending was $1.39 trillion. 2011 spending will very likely end up much closer to that than the targeted $1.12 trillion. The appropriations process is not kind to non-binding resolutions, however well-intentioned. Especially when the resolution “doesn’t detail how Congress should reach that [deficit reduction] goal.”

Congress lacks the will to cut $270 billion of spending. The interests benefitting from that spending will scream bloody murder the second their programs are put on the chopping block. In an election year when incumbents are more fearful than usual, no politician worth his salt wants to cause an uproar.

Congress need not worry too much, though. Even in anti-incumbent years, re-election are almost always above 90 percent. The vast majority of congressional turnover happens through retirement, running for other office, or death.

The pattern is holding this year, so far. The University of Virginia’s Larry Sabato recently pointed out that 5 incumbents have lost their state primary elections this year, while 240 were re-nominated. That’s a 98 percent success rate. There will be a few more casualties, especially in the November general elections.

Most members are safe. They can, and should, rock the boat by cutting unnecessary spending. If anything, the most aggressive cutters might become folk heroes like Chris Christie in New Jersey. They just don’t have the guts.

I will be more than happy if Congress proves me wrong. We’ll find out over the next few months.

Banks can afford to offer free checking accounts with no minimum balance, to responsible people, only because they can charge overdraft fees to irresponsible people.  But Congress has now prohibited many overdraft fees, which will result in many banks eliminating free checking, and also require responsible people to subsidize irresponsible people.  This is chronicled in a Wall Street Journal news story entitled “End Is Seen to Free Checking.”

As the Journal notes,  “Bank of America Corp. and other banks are preparing new fees on basic banking services as they try to replace revenue lost to regulatory rules, in a push that is expected to spell an end to free checking accounts for many Americans. Free checking accounts, which have been widely available for more than a decade, have been a boon to middle-class consumers and attracted low-income customers to the banking system for the first time. Customers will likely be required to pay new monthly maintenance fees on the most basic accounts that don’t generate a lot of activity. To avoid a fee, customers will have to maintain certain account balances or frequently use other banking services, such as credit and debit cards, automated teller machines and online accounts. ‘If you put $1,000 in a checking account and don’t do anything with it, it will be hard to get that for free,’” thanks to the new rules.

This is becoming a pattern for Congress, passing laws forcing responsible people to subsidize irresponsible people.  It did the same thing with the bailouts, and with the CARD Act of 2009, which effectively forced responsible credit cardholders to subsidize irresponsible credit cardholders.  That credit card law, which limited what banks could charge irresponsible credit holders,  led to the return of annual fees on some credit cards, and wiped out many cash-back and rewards programs.

The elimination of free checking thanks to Congress’s unwise restrictions on overdraft fees will harm low-income people by driving them back to check-cashing stores that charge them money to cash every check. “The offers of free checking without any minimum balance requirements attracted a new wave of low-income customers, who previously went to check-cashing stores.”