Vice President for Policy Wayne Crews is author of the new CEI study, “The Other National Debt Crisis: How and Why Congress Must Quantify Regulation.” He discusses a few of his many ideas for deregulating the economy, including a regulatory budget, improved cost analysis, and lowering the threshold of “economically significant” regulations from $100 million to $25 million. This would require OMB to review more than the roughly 5 percent of new rules that it currently analyzes. The other 95 percent should not slip through the cracks.
deregulation
Cass Sunstein, President Obama’s regulatory czar, announced today that the administration intends to repeal regulations from 30 different agencies. CEI Vice President for Strategy Iain Murray thinks this is a good step, though a small one. He estimates today’s proposal would save about $1.5 billion, which is one-tenth of one percent of the $1.75 trillion total burden of federal regulation.
The man who deregulated air travel passed away yesterday at age 93. That man, Alfred Kahn, was a Cornell economics professor who did far more than teach. He revolutionized the role of economics in regulatory policy. He did important work on electricity deregulation in addition to his famous work on deregulating air travel.
Kahn’s most famous book was The Economics of Regulation, which pointed out that regulations often hinder competition, not help it. His use of the economic way of thinking was distinctly unfashionable at the time. One of his greatest legacies is righting that wrong.
As a lifelong partisan Democrat, Kahn had credibility in political circles at a time when regulatory skeptics were shooed away from the corridors of power. After chairing the New York Public Service Commission, President Carter appointed him to lead the Civil Aeronautics Board in 1977, which he dismantled.
Before Kahn, airlines had to get permission from the CAB to establish new routes or terminate old ones. The CAB set ticket prices, not the market. This prevented profitable or high-demand routes from being given adequate service, and kept money-losing, little-traveled routes open. It prevented airlines from keeping up with their customers’ ever-changing needs.
The CAB was also a wonderful device for keeping pesky start-ups from competing with established industry giants such as Pan American. Southwest Airlines, for example, would only fly routes inside the state of Texas to avoid CAB regulations.
Once the CAB was abolished, Southwest and other small airlines tried out new business models and offering lower fares. Some of them prospered; others did a poor job giving people what they wanted and ceased to be. Today, air travel may not have the amenities it used to, but it cheaper, more flexible, and more adaptable than it was under the CAB.
Washington could use more people like Alfred Kahn. He had his successes in a few choice sectors of the economy, but many more still have Civil Aeronautics Boards of their own stopping them from reaching their potential. Let us learn from his example of a life well lived; a good place to start is Thomas McCraw’s Prophets of Regulation.
Have a listen by clicking here.
Ryan Radia, CEI’s Associate Director of Technology Studies, talks about obstacles and opportunities for job creation in the high-tech sector. Regulatory uncertainty is making companies wary of making long-term investments. The sheer number of regulations makes it very expensive to hire workers. According to an article Radia coauthored at RealClearMarkets, rolling back the regulatory state could pave the way for more jobs.
Over at RealClearMarkets.com, my CEI colleague Ryan Radia offer some ideas for how to create more high-tech jobs. Our main points:
-Do more with less. This often involves cutting workers who aren’t productive enough to offset their wages. Sounds like bad news. But it’s actually crucial to job creation. That’s because in the long run, automation frees up resources — and employees — for new opportunities.
-Hiring new employees means jumping through countless regulatory hoops. According to a 2005 study by economist W. Mark Crain, compliance costs average $5,282 per employee at large companies. Small businesses pay $7,647 per employee. Some of those resources could have been spent hiring more employees. Over-regulation causes unemployment.
-Politicians can’t create jobs. But they can help to foster better conditions for wealth and job creation. Regulations cost businesses and consumers $1.17 trillion last year alone. Congress should roll them back. Some companies fear potential clampdowns on their businesses. Congress should leave them alone. Some failing businesses are eating up resources that could be better used elsewhere. Congress should stop bailing them out.
Through June, the government spent about $620 billion of stimulus money. The Obama administration claims that the spending has saved or created 2.3 to 2.8 million jobs.
For the sake of argument, let’s assume those job creation numbers are true. In fact, let’s pick the rosiest number — 2.8 million jobs.
At a price of $620 billion, that comes out to $221,428.57 per job. Startlingly inefficient.
Now consider that that $620 billion had to come from somewhere else. Some of that money came from taxes. That leaves less money left over for consumers and businesses to spend. Some of the stimulus money was borrowed. That leaves less capital for private companies borrow.
The private sector tends to spend less than the government to create a job. Since stimulus spending is spending more money to create fewer jobs than the private sector, it is actually causing net harm to the job market.
In place of the spending stimulus, I humbly offer a deregulatory stimulus. CEI VP Wayne Crews and I offer some specific proposals here.
Here’s a letter I sent recently to The New York Times:
May 14, 2010
Editor, The New York Times
620 Eighth Avenue
New York, NY 10018To the Editor:
Your May 12 article “With Obama, Regulations Are Back in Fashion” (page A15) asserts that the Bush administration had a “deregulatory agenda.” If that is true, then President Bush failed miserably in executing it.
His administration added 31,634 new regulations to the books, and repealed hardly any. The cost of complying with federal regulations exceeded $1 trillion for the first time on Bush’s watch. 587,321 new pages were added to Federal Register during the Bush years.*
Even the regulation-intensive Obama administration is passing new regulations at a pace nearly ten percent slower than President Bush.
Contrary to the article, the Bush administration was the best friend regulators have had in a generation or more.
Ryan Young
Warren T. Brookes Journalism Fellow
Competitive Enterprise Institute
Washington, DC
*All data from Wayne Crews, Ten Thousand Commandments.
Over at RealClearMarkets, I explain why the answer is a resounding no:
Rep. Phil Hare argues that “reckless deregulation” is one of the causes of the current economic crisis. That isn’t actually true. This year’s edition of the Competitive Enterprise Institute’s Ten Thousand Commandments report found that 3,830 new regulations came into effect in 2008 alone.
Over 30,000 total new rules passed during the Bush years. Hardly any were repealed. Businesses currently dole out the equivalent of Canada’s entire 2006 GDP – about $1.2 trillion – just to comply with federal regulations.
Where is the deregulation?
263,989 people make their living working for federal regulatory agencies, according to research from the Mercatus Center. That’s an all-time high.
12,190 of them regulate financial markets from Washington. More are based in New York and other financial centers. None of these figures include state and local rules and regulators. Those cost extra.
Tributes are pouring in for Edward M. “Ted” Kennedy, who lost his battle with brain cancer late Tuesday evening at the age of 77. Most tributes to the “Liberal Lion” focus on his accomplishments at expanding government spending and regulation. And indeed, those were the bulk of his achievements.
But for a brief, shining moment, in the mid to late 1970s, Kennedy viewed smaller government as the most compassionate answer in one area of economic life: transportation. Kennedy was the prime mover in Congress behind the airline and trucking deregulation bills that were signed by President Jimmy Carter. He saw the impact of regulation in these industries as protecting entrenched companies from competition, and decided that the liberal, compassionate thing to do was to deregulate to give consumers lower prices and more choices. As the news stories search for all the ways Kennedy’s impact is felt by everyday Americans, one obvious impact is reflected in this headline today on AOL news, “Fall Airfares Starting at $59.”
From the 1930s to the 1970s, the federal government treated interstate airlines as a public utility, setting routes, schedules and fares through the Civil Aeronautics Board. The incumbent carriers had learned to like the system because they were protected from competition on their routes, and the price-setting operated as more of a price floor than a price ceiling. Low-cost carrier Southwest Airlines, which is offering the aforementioned $59 one-way fare and now dominates the airline industry, was confined to intrastate flights within Texas – where the federal government couldn’t reach – for the first eight years after its founding in 1971. (See this tribute to Kennedy today in Southwest Airlines’ blog.)
Some folks may have fond memories of the linen napkins and china plates on airlines in the “good old days” before deregulation when airlines aggressively competed on service because they couldn’t do so on price. But millions of middle-class families and small businesses were locked out of flying because of the high fares and limited service.
Think tanks, academics, and even consumer advocate Ralph Nader began to argue in the 1970s that airline deregulation was a good idea. In addition to problem of high consumer prices, deregulation was also advocated out of a kind of “systemic risk” concern. Railroads such as Penn Central were going bust and being bailed out, and observers feared that airlines would suffer the same fate and cause the same drain on taxpayers if they were not allowed to become competitive and self-sustaining.
But the aviation industry fought against repealing these controls that had long protected it from real competition (And, contrary to popular narrative, this instance of businesses championing regulation out of self-interested motives is not unique. Read Washington Examiner columnist and former CEI Warren T. Brookes Fellow Timothy P. Carney’s brilliant book, The Big Ripoff: How Big Business and Big Government Steal Your Money.). There were other businesses that supported deregulation, notably retailers like Sears that correctly saw that airline and trucking deregulation – which would lower their shipping rates – were part of a package. But the airlines fought hard and had a staunch ally in fighting deregulation in Sen. Howard Cannon (D-Nev.), chairman of the powerful Subcommittee on Aviation of the Senate Commerce Committee.
But deregulation advocates found an ally of their own in Kennedy, who, with the help of young policy aides like now-Supreme Court Justice Stephen Breyer, began to see the egalitarian case for deregulation. Beginning in 1975, Kennedy held hearings on airline and trucking deregulation as chairman of the Senate Judiciary Committee’s Subcommittee on Administrative Practice and Procedure and later the Subcommittee on Antitrust and Monopoly. Kennedy’s opening statement for one of these hearings sounds positively CEI-esque on the detriments of regulation and the benefits of the free market. The senator said, “Regulators all too often encourage or approve unreasonably high prices, inadequate service, and anti-competitive behavior. The cost of this regulation is always passed on to the consumer. And that cost is astronomical.”
Scholars Martha Derthick and Paul J. Quirk write in their book The Politics of Deregulation (published by the Brooking Institution – read excerpts here): “Kennedy’s lack of jurisdiction over regulatory legislation may have tended to limit the effect of his activities, but if so this limitation was amply offset by his ability to attract the press and exert pressure on the Senate subcommittees that did have jurisdiction.” The author write that “with Kennedy showing so much interest in pro-competitive regulatory reform, it became very hard for [Cannon] to show none.”
Cannon would hold his own hearings, and in the end, became a co-sponsor of Kennedy’s Airline Deregulation Act of 1978 that passed Congress and was signed by Carter. Kennedy would go on push the Motor Carrier Act of 1980 that deregulated trucking rates and was also signed by Carter. Kennedy would note these deregulatory accomplishments in his base-rousing “Dream Shall Never Die” speech to the Democratic National Convention in 1980, delivered just after he lost the nomination fight to Carter and considered the greatest speech of his career. “While others talked of free enterprise, it was the Democratic Party that acted and we ended excessive regulation in the airline and trucking industry, and we restored competition to the marketplace,” Kennedy intoned. “And I take some satisfaction that this deregulation legislation that I sponsored and passed in the Congress of the United States.”
Kennedy argued in the speech, “The demand of our people in 1980 is not for smaller government or bigger government but for better government.” Deregulation in the airline and trucking sectors, he implied, was an example of “better government.” Open Market bloggers would argue that smaller government is almost always better government, but Kennedy’s pragmatic case for this specific deregulation holds lesson for the regulatory debates of today. As much as deregulation is almost a dirty word and wrongly blamed for the financial crisis, practically no one would really want to go back to the bad old days when Southwest could only offer its low fares in the state of Texas.
CEI President Fred L. Smith Jr. and scholar Braden Cox point out in an entry of The Concise Encyclopedia of Economics that fares on flights have fallen 45 percent in inflation-adjusted terms since airlines were deregulated in 1978. They also cite research by scholars Robert Crandall and Jerry Ellig finding that even when figures are adjusted for changes in quality and amenities, deregulation still saves $19.4 billion per year in passenger costs, and these savings have been passed on to 80 percent of passengers.
The lessons of airline deregulation’s benefits to the common man in terms of lower prices and more choices apply even to issue on which Kennedy was on the other side. Health care consumers would benefit from competition among insurers across state lines, and a federal government bureaucracy that set rates and mandated what insurance companies could and could not cover – even if there were no “public option” – would likely be as bad for consumers as the old Civil Aeronautics Board that Kennedy fought to depower.
And as Smith and Cox pointed out, we should also fight to finish Kennedy’s job of air travel deregulation by allowing foreign carriers to compete on domestic routes and through privatization of airports and air traffic control, which other countries, including ironically Canada, have gone further than the U.S. in achieving. Completing this liberalization would help resolve lingering problems such as flight delays and passengers stuck on the tarmac for an inordinate amount of time, as the private sector could modernize aviation facilities just as the airline industry has adjusted.
In tribute to Senator Kennedy, Open Market urges all legislators to look at his accomplishments in airline and trucking deregulation, and be Kennedy-esque in applying his insights on these issues to the economy at large.
Disclosure: Like million of Americans, I happily fly Southwest Airlines, and I also own shares of its stock.