job creation

Over at The American Spectator, I break down the debate over regulation’s impact on the job market and propose one regulation that could create countless jobs:

As everyone knows, winter is coming. And many of the nation’s least-employed states will see a lot of snow this year. Already, giant snowplows are beginning to traverse the highways and byways of Michigan, Ohio, and other states going through hard times. With these plows, one man can do the work of a hundred.

I say we ban snowplows and hand out some shovels.

Think about it for a minute. In Michigan alone, nearly 520,000 people are looking for a job and can’t find one. Tens of thousands of miles of roads zig and zag across the state. If this winter lives up to lofty Midwestern standards, it’s possible that every last one of those 520,000 could work at least part time clearing the way for their fellow citizens. And all because of regulation!

I do enjoy economic humor. Read the whole thing here.

Over at RealClearMarkets.com, my CEI colleague Ryan Radia offer some ideas for how to create more high-tech jobs. Our main points:

-Do more with less. This often involves cutting workers who aren’t productive enough to offset their wages. Sounds like bad news. But it’s actually crucial to job creation. That’s because in the long run, automation frees up resources — and employees — for new opportunities.

-Hiring new employees means jumping through countless regulatory hoops. According to a 2005 study by economist W. Mark Crain, compliance costs average $5,282 per employee at large companies. Small businesses pay $7,647 per employee. Some of those resources could have been spent hiring more employees. Over-regulation causes unemployment.

-Politicians can’t create jobs. But they can help to foster better conditions for wealth and job creation. Regulations cost businesses and consumers $1.17 trillion last year alone. Congress should roll them back. Some companies fear potential clampdowns on their businesses. Congress should leave them alone. Some failing businesses are eating up resources that could be better used elsewhere. Congress should stop bailing them out.

Not all stimulus programs are created equal. If the goal of the latest economic bailout package that Congress is considering is as President Elect Obama has declared, job creation, there is a significant disparity between many of the programs.  While only 39 of the variously appropriated federal programs even attempt to quantify the number of jobs that they would create, there is a huge disparity in how effective various programs are at job creation — ranging from $1,000,000 per job created down to $16,000 per job created.

For a bill that is designed to stimulate job creation, it is disgraceful that Congress would appropriate any money for programs where the agency has not even attempted to estimated the number of jobs that the appropriation would generate. For the few programs that have estimated the number of jobs created there are obviously some that are economically more efficient than others. And Congress should certainly direct resources to those programs that would maximize the job benefit for the buck. At a minimum, Congress should focus on those programs that are more rather than less efficient. If a program cannot even estimate the number of jobs that if would create, that program certainly doesn’t qualify for emergency economic recovery legislation. Congress should insist on knowing how many jobs a program is estimated to generate before appropriating huge sums of American taxpayer dollars.

Here is a list of programs from the stimulus bill and  the estimated cost per job.

jobscost1

USATODAY.com reports that the stimulus plan has swelled to $850 billion but lacks the bold ideas that are needed for the economy to truly recover.  As USA Today reports:

Obama had proposed an economic stimulus package that aides, including adviser David Axelrod, estimated at $775 billion, nearly 40% of which would be taken up by tax cuts, including a $3,000 job-creation tax credit.

The tax cuts are a good start, but that leaves 60% of the proposal composed of spending programs.  The spending programs are a mixed bag, but many of the suggested programs set a high price on job creation.  A program to modernize Social Security sets the price of job creation at $1 million per job.  Other programs attack the employment issue by hundreds of thousands of dollars to create just one job.  These aren’t the kinds of “shovel-ready” programs that we heard were designed to help the middle class.

When you compare these high-dollar program to other proposed expenditures, like highway projects, you see that the bill isn’t really focused on getting the most bang for our buck.   The highway projects included in the bill would create jobs at roughly $35,000 a piece.  If Mr. Obama and Democratic leaders in Congress want to achieve their goal of job creation, they ought to be focusing on creating the most jobs per dollar and cut the fat from this proposal.

Meanwhile, Republicans on the Hill are proposing that the tax cut portion of the bill be expanded.  As USA Today’s coverage also reports:

The Republican Study Committee, a group of fiscally conservative GOP House members, released a proposal Wednesday that includes trimming individual tax rates by 5% and cutting the top corporate tax rate from 35% to 25%.

While this is a better proposal than a multi-billion-dollar spending spree, it lacks the boldness needed during this crisis.

Granted, politicians are comprise-seeking creatures, but this proposal seems particularly meek when the US is staring at the worst financial crisis since Herbert Hoover was in office.  Someone needs to let the economy out of the chains that Washington has put on it and let America start working again.

Cutting the corporate tax rate to 0% would be the ideal as it would usher in an era of jobs flooding into America, rather than crossing our border to the south and fleeing toward cheaper labor in Asia.  This is likely to be politically untenable, but perhaps a cut down to 15% would be possible now.  It would put the United States on equal ground with Ireland, Europe’s fastest growing economy, and still reverse the trend of job flight.

Perhaps the most overlooked and most important thing we could do to help the economy would be to engage in a systematic program of deregulation.  Mr. Obama could defy political expectations by creating a BRAC Commission for regulations.

BRAC, Base Closure and Realignment Commission was designed to take the politics out of closing military bases.  Because local economies grow around military bases, it became political suicide for Congressmen to vote for base closings in their district or State.  This stalled progress in shutting down any bases, creating incredible headaches for our nation’s military, which needs to be able to shift its resources when needed.  BRAC was created to decided what bases would be closed and then to present the bill to Congress, which it would then have to vote either up or down, with no amendments.

The same local interests are often involved in regulations.  One state might benefit from a regulation on steel makers because it produces aluminum.  Similarly, mountains of compliance paperwork can often benefit large companies because it prevents small competitors from ever getting started—the little guys don’t have the lawyers and accountants needed to comply with Washington’s regulatory nightmares.  Representatives and Senators know that businesses benefit from regulations, and they’ll work to see that other regulation get repealed before those that help their constituents.

We can get around this political reality  by creating a deregulatory commission that would pour through the federal register and would then recommend large slates of regulations to be cut.  Just like BRAC, this comission could  force Congress to vote Yes or No.

Deregulation wouldn’t result in income loss for the federal government, it would clear the books of many dead-weight, no-gain rules, and would get the economy chugging along more efficiently.  This is exactly what America needs.  This, combined with lower income taxes and a much lower corporate tax rates, would be a far greater stimulus—and less open to corruption and playing favorites—than the spending boondoggle now before law makers in Washington.