Wall Street

Welcome to Episode 33 of the LibertyWeek podcast, with your hosts Richard Morrison and Cord Blomquist and technical producer (and this week’s special guest) Ryan Young. After bidding our friend Thor Halvorssen a very happy birthday, we get a fresh recap from Ryan Young on the events of the Free State Project’s recent Liberty Forum in Nashua, New Hampshire (photos). Google’s CEO spurns Twitter (transcript via TechCrunch) in Technology News, John McCain and Richard Shelby say that the government should end the bailouts and let poorly-managed banks go bankrupt, and brewers pin their hopes on robust St. Patrick’s Day sales in this week’s edition of Beer News. Next, we go abroad for Scandal Watch where the Chinese government is cracking down on sub-optimal milk quality and finally back home to America for Olympic News, where the head of the U.S. Olympic Committee is calling it quits.

The honor of Tweet of the Week™ goes to dan_hayes of Reason.tv!

This week, host Cord Blomquist and co-host William Yeatman, along with guest commentator Ryan Young (Richard Morrison is off this week) take a whiff of the bank nationalizations floating through the air, and say they stink. Sen. Chris Dodd’s dodgy dealings in real estate come under scrutiny. Rep. John Murtha has a few multi-million dollar skeletons hiding in his own, heavily gilded, closet. Climate czar Carol Browner declares war on the economy. While favoring immigration in general, our hosts question the wisdom of “eco-migration.” Finally, we wish double-amputee Olympic hopeful Oscar Pistorius a speedy recovery.

Listen to Episode 31 of the LibertyWeek podcast here.

Such is the title of the latest BusinessWeek.com debate. Taking the “con” side is CEI’s own Eli Lehrer, who argues (in part):

Long-term government bank ownership, in any case, would simply make the country poorer. Banks actually create money when they lend it out, but doing so only has positive overall economic consequences when the loans get repaid. Government-owned banks would face enormous, understandable pressure to lend to politically powerful groups and industries that can’t reasonably repay their loans. Even the best managers couldn’t overcome this pressure.

Even in the “post-partisan” paradise of the Obama Era, public choice still matters!

*Photo credit: Declan McCullagh.

Our friends at the Ayn Rand Center for Individual Rights are hosting what promises to be a fascinating public lecture on the state of the U.S. economy and what it means for the future of capitalism. Former CEO and current Board Chairman of BB&T bank, John Allison, will explain the interventionist government policies that brought us where we are today and their anti-capitalist underpinnings.

Location and Details:

The Financial Crisis: Causes and Possible Cures
Thursday, January 29, 2009

National Building Museum—Great Hall
401 F Street NW
Washington, DC 20001
Red Line Metro, Judiciary Square

Doors open: 6 PM
Lecture and Q & A: 6:30 PM

This event is FREE and open to the public.

For supporters of freedom and markets, the Year of Our Lord 2008 has been close to a disaster. As D:Ream used to sing, things can only get better, surely? Ah, if only…

This was the year that saw two Presidential candidates vying with each other to see who could make the most ridiculous statements on global warming and the financial system (it may be the less ridiculous won). It was a year when one bunch of free-spending economic know-nothings gained complete control of Congress over another bunch of free-spending economic know-nothings. This was the year the American polity compromised and became both stupid and evil.

2008 was a year when America lost its mind over energy. As energy prices spiked thanks to (as we now know) artificially inflated demand, politicians mostly discussed ways to make them higher still. No energy idea was too stupid for someone to be praised as a genius or visionary for proposing it. Oil companies fell over themselves to make adverts telling people not to use their main product. Congress told American car makers they weren’t making the cars people wanted to buy, so they were going to make them do it or fine them into closure. Car makers responded by demanding money from the taxpayer. Congress agreed. The invisible hand was thereby nailed to a Congressional table. For one brief, shining moment, it looked like even this Congress would be forced to relax idiotic restrictions on oil exploration, but “Drill, baby, drill” was retired as the oil price collapsed and so we will have to go through the whole thing again on the next oil price spike, when we will be told it is too late to explore and drill (again).

This was the year when every energy-snake-oil salesman realized that “green jobs” was the magic phrase that unlocked taxpayer wallets. A vast army of careers in the compact-light-bulb-changing industry awaits America’s youth. The progression from trainee light-bulb-changer to assistant-light-bulb-changer to certified-light-bulb-changer to lightbulb-changing-supervisor to lightbulb-changing-regional-manager to lightbulb-changing-firm-CEO to lightbulb-changing-Czar will tempt the most ambitious young people (even if most of the actual changing will be done by recent immigrants from Mexico). The 500,000 extra unemployed as a result of the “green jobs” scam will at least be able to pat themselves on the back that, by losing their jobs, they have reduced global emissions infinitesimally.

2008 was the year when the housing-market-of-cards erected on the shifting sands of decades of congressional and administration pressure to lend fell down spectacularly. The market that had reacted to government signals got all the blame, when it only deserved some of it. The guilty parties in Washington not only got away scott free, but are now writing the rules for another iteration of the manifestly-failed Mixed Economy. As for a free market in finance, that has been completely ruled out even though it’s never actually been tried.

This Annus Horribilis also saw the rise of Bailout Nation. With asset values collapsed, the investors who had speculated and lost knew they had one way to keep their pockets full – by getting their cronies in the Administration and Congress to take money out of the pockets of taxpayers and give it to them. A Congress full of people supposedly friendly to the middle class agreed. Trebles and bonuses all round! With Wall Street the most despised thoroughfare in America, one Wall Street Panhandler masquerading as a Treasury Secretary is to be replaced by another. That’s change I can believe in.

In my native Britain, the 55th year of the Queen’s reign saw the Conservative Party reap the rewards of acquiescing to New Labour’s mixed-economy economic policy. When British banks collapsed, and a sterling crisis deepened the trouble, they were left with nothing to say. Gordon Brown, the man who promised he had put an end to “boom and bust,” blamed the bust that followed his housing boom on America and Margaret Thatcher and thereby managed to improve his opinion poll rating to the level where people were speculating he might call a General Election. The British voter, after all, knows he is a safe pair of hands with the economy. At least some over there, however, know what the real story is.

As 2008 draws to a close it has proven to be the coldest year in a decade and it seems that tropospheric temperatures are beginning a downward cycle again. Never, however, has the political establishment been so united in deciding that urgent action is needed to save us from ever-rising temperatures.

2008, you were a rotten year. No-one likes you. Go away!

The threat of deflation is so big in the UK, where they have found their version of the financial crisis worsened by the weakness of sterling and the size of government, that a former Treasury adviser is suggesting they need to think about printing money.

Meanwhile, Rich Lowry quotes AEI’s Peter Wallison about Hank Paulson’s latest u-turn:

The problem is that these shifts in direction have caused investors and others to lose confidence that Paulson knows what he’s doing, and that in itself could be causing some of the distress in the markets. The whole idea of TARP was to increase confidence, and that’s now been frittered away. If you go to Congress with a plan, it better be the plan you are actually going to carry out, or you better have a good explanation for why it isn’t going to be implemented. If Paulson has lost faith in his original plan, he has to explain why, and his failure to do so is probably worse than his constantly shifting objectives. When you’re Treasury Secretary, you don’t have the luxury of saying “Oh, never mind.”

We here have never thought that Paulson knew what he was doing, except helping out his cronies in Wall Street. If we don’t get some people in government willing to bite the bullet (and that is unlikely), we may well end up having to print money too.

Major newspapers around the country including the Washington Post, the LA Times, and the Wall Street Journal are urging President-elect Barack Obama to pass the U.S.-Colombia Free Trade Agreement in the lame duck session. The Los Angeles Times said it bluntly, “It’s time to stop playing games with a trade pact whose economic and political benefits are good for both nations.”

Some reports of the meeting between the president-elect and President Bush said that the president had pushed for the trade agreement in exchange for support of the auto loan package, but that was denied.

CEI has strongly supported the passage of this agreement based on its own merits — it provides surety for continued liberalized trade for Colombia, it opens up Colombian markets to U.S. goods without high tariffs, and it helps cement the close relationship with a Latin American ally besieged by leftist neighboring governments.

Prepare yourself for the latest episode of the best free market podcast around, LibertyWeek.

Your hosts Richard Morrison and Cord Blomquist discuss the looming presidential election, Halloween, the conviction of Alaska Sen. Ted Stevens, the continuing economic unease, tough times for the U.S. Postal Service, American companies react to Internet censorship abroad, Cox’s new wireless service, Microsoft’s new web-based OS Azure, and all the finest Olympic News.

Listen now!

We’re hearing from a variety of sources that Jamie Dimon, the CEO of JP Morgan Chase, has agreed in principle to be Obama’s Treasury Secretary. Dimon worked hand-in-glove with Hank Paulson over the Bear Stearns bailout. The new boss, it appears, will be the same as the old boss.

Looks like the revolving door between Wall Street and the Treasury Department ain’t going to stop any time soon.

In a related note, the excellent Capital Research Center, which has done so much good explaining how leftist NGOs dictate public policy, has now turned its lights on Goldman Sachs.

It’s been called a ticking time bomb by Investor’s Business Daily. CNNMoney asks if this will be the next disaster. Yet the Feds are delaying one key in bringing stability to our financial markets.

As a $62 trillion dollar over the counter market, CDSs need an exchange or central clearinghouse to provide transparency and collateral requirements. CME (formed from the Chicago Board of Trade and the Chicago Mercantile Exchange) and the Clearing Corp (formed from 17 financial players including UBS and Goldman Sachs) have stepped up to the plate. Clearing Corp could have had a clearinghouse up and running within a week or so; however, the Fed has pushed Clearinghouse to obtain a banking license which will probably delay its opening until next year. But with each bank that is removed from this house of cards the threat of meltdown is increased. The banks are falling one after another internationally, and with the CDSs so intertwined, its only a matter of time until when you take away one more card and they all fall.

According to Bloomberg
, “Barclays analysts estimated in February that if a financial institution that had $2 trillion in credit-default swap trades outstanding were to fail, it might trigger between $36 billion and $47 billion in losses for those that traded with the firm. That doesn’t include the market-value losses investors face as the cost to protect companies against a default widens.”

Perhaps it would be a good idea for the Feds to speed their approval process?